Uber Driver Update

Its been 2 weeks since Uber started up in Austin.  They advertised making $600 in one weekend driving your own car.  I averaged $500 a weekend or about $39/hr in my first 2 weekends, only working about 13 hours over 3 days Friday-Sunday.  Uber was giving away 20 free rides for 2 weeks, so it will be interesting to see how well the demand holds up after the promotion ends on June 20th, 2014.

Uber Starts up in Austin, TX

Uber has started offering its ride sharing service in Austin, TX.  Within the Austin city limits there is still some questions weather it is totally legal or not, so Uber is offering the service for free for 2 weeks to any passenger.  Just use promo code ATXFREE or text to 827-222 to get 20 free rides.  The service is about half the cost of a taxi and they use regular people as drivers.  Background checks are done on the drivers and payments are all electronic, so cash is never exchanged.

I signed up as a driver.  I may never use it, but it would be nice to be allowed, in-case I'm bored and want to make a few bucks.  After you complete the application form and submit images of your license, insurance, registration and car, you just wait for a back ground check to be completed and you can start.  The Uber staff came to Austin for a couple of days to hand deliver the gear.  They give you an iPhone4 with the driver app installed, a USB charging cable, cigarette lighter charger, phone holder and air freshener.

Futures Trading Begins

This week I opened a Futures account with E*Trade.  With a  minimum account size of $10K, you get fairly cheap commissions for the first 3 months.  After that you can reduce the size to $2K, but I would not advise it.  Future's contracts are highly leveraged and you can quickly blow through a $2K account in minutes if you don't watch what you are doing.  I have watched on TastyTrade.com how its done have have read many articles about it.  

Now was time to test the waters and why not.  I can commit last month's profits to this endeavor.  I dont want to lose money, but the key seems to be just chart watching and to be very discipline with your entries and exits.  Since a $10K account really wont cover many contracts, I will be strictly day-trading and closing all positions at the end of the day.

My first trade was the ES, short for E-mini S&P.  Since it was trading up and near a 5min Bollinger band I decided to try shorting 1 contract.  Well, it proceeded to pop up a few more ticks, but eventually came back to earth and I covered within 60 mins for a $37.50 profit.  Good thing I did, since it bounce back up again.

Next ,I tried a few NQ contracts, which is the Nasdaq 100 futures.  This future really moves fast, but I told myself I would not chase and would alwasy let the market come to me.  It was Fed meeting day so I was long 4 contracts during the Fed Release and the initial move was down, then a huge spike up.  I quickly made over $500.  I scapled a few more long trades on the NQ and at the end of the day I was up $937.50 for the day.  My futures account was up over 9% in one day!  Do that 10 days in a row and Ill be up over 100%

Maybe I was lucky, maybe I was good or a combination of both.  Time will tell, but that was fun..  Things to keep in mind each ES Contract point is worth $50 and each .25 tick is $12.50.  Each NQ Contract point is worth $20 and each .25 tick is worth $5.

Trading Realization - "Trade Small and Trade Often"

I had a realization today.  My desire to be a 'perfect' trader was holding me back.  I have had a  pretty good run the last 2 months, in trading.  Having no losses on any trades, I thought I finally cracked the markets.  I was trying to be perfect and did not want to lose any money on a single trade.  While I know this is unrealistic, I tried my hardest to achieve this because of my personal ego to always be right.  

The problem with this is I had to take positions that had 'unlimited risk'.   It would only be a matter of time before a blow up.  As a good predictor of price action, I was simply lucky with my results so far.  I know I need to manage my risk, so it was time to try a new strategy.  

I also wanted to build up my IRA accounts and in those accounts you can not enter into naked positions.  All trades need to be covered or cash secured.   So how can I build my retirement accounts?  I have to hedge every options bet and limit or define all unlimited losses. 

I never like the idea of hedging my bets, since the cost of the hedges really eats into your profits, but what I realized is that without these hedges I am subject to huge potential losses and statistics say that it will eventually happen and be order of magnitude than many some gains.  

So while the cost to hedge is high, the probability of profit is also high.  So I have to make up for the hedges by simply trading more and make up any losses in my volume of trades!  Sure, I statistically should lose 20% of the time, but the 80% of the time should be winners.  So my new saying is "Trade small and trade often!"

The 80% win rate should guarantee a profit at the end of the month, even with 20% losers.  The losses should be contained as long as you keep your trade sizes about the same.   The key is to maintain the same level of trading and don't over extend yourself.    As soon as you do, the market will go against you and you will have to start all over.  Stay disciplined!

2014 Trading Update

It has been a hell of a year to start my trading for 2014.  After incurring a net lost in January, I'm off to the races and have surpassed last year's gains at this time.  What is even better, is that I have been able to keep my accounts at all time highs.  Which means that I have been beating the markets, which is not easy to do.  Most professional money managers never beat the averages, but this year might be my year to do just that.

I am averaging $7,735/month and a win rate of 81%.    While my win rate is slightly lower than last year, my average per month is significantly better so far.  They say in trading even the worst stock picker can be a successful trader if they employ risk management and minimize losses.  So that is my goal this year. My goal this year is to minimize my losses and just be consistent.  My target profit is anything six figures.  If I could have contained my huge losses last year, it would have been an amazing year.  I had a few trades really blow up on me and that costed me dearly.  If I can manage to fix that, I should be well on my way.